Back in January, I wrote a column titled “Why Courting the Black Vote Won’t Work.” I was surprised that it received quite a bit of attention. It really picked up steam after BlackElectorate.com linked to it. It generated lots of e-mail and two radio interviews. It’s also the column that Darryl Cox quoted from. I decided to re-run the piece for new readers.
Justifiably confident going into the election cycle, Republicans have announced they hope to win 25 percent of the black vote. Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich has great expectations. “If we get African American votes, [the Democrats] are in deep trouble,” he told the Washington Post. Not just any trouble. Deep trouble, he says.
Columnist Jonetta Rose Barras agrees, citing black voters’ growing dissatisfaction with the Democratic Party that resulted in Arnold Schwarzenegger winning 17 percent of the vote and New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg garnering 22 percent.
The statistics portend good things for Republicans. According to the oft-cited Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies 2002 political survey, 63 percent of blacks self-identified themselves as Democrats (down from 74 percent in 2000), 24 percent self-identified as Independents (up from 20 percent in 2000) and 10 percent self-identified as Republicans (up from 4 percent in 2000).
Regardless of how blacks self-identify, however, Democrats consistently get 90 percent of their vote. Why? Years of damage caused by liberal ideology and misinformation pumped into the black community for the past 25 years. Memo to Republicans: Popping up in black church services and doing sound bites on urban radio won’t cut it.
Blacks have been lied to about the history of the Republican party and civil rights. Historically, blacks voted for Republicans because Democrats were blatantly anti-civil rights (and in some ways still are). For example, “radical” Republicans of the 1860s supported slavery’s end in America, the Civil Rights Acts of 1866 and 1964 were opposed by Democrats (Senator Robert Byrd participated in a filibuster of the latter) and Jim Crow was a creation of Democrats.
In the 1960s, Democrats blocked school doorways while Republicans pushed de-segregation legislation. In 2004, Democrats continue to block school doorways while Republicans push school choice, the only hope many black parents have to ensure that their kids get a decent education.
So why did blacks switch from voting for Republicans in large numbers to voting for Democrats? Some say it was President John F. Kennedy’s perceived sensitivity to the oppression of minorities that endeared him and the party to black Americans, and they’ve been voting for Democrats in droves ever since.
Aside from revisionist history, a more fundamental rift exists between blacks and Republicans. The concept of limited government — a core Republican principle — is anathema to most blacks, even wealthy, well-educated ones. Thanks to the handiwork of Southern Democrats, blacks continue to turn to the federal government for redress of the slightest racial grievance.
Conservatives have a healthy distrust of the federal government and believe its powers should be limited to only those enumerated in the U.S. Constitution. To most blacks, however, limited government brings to mind “states’ rights”, which in turn evokes images of Southern whites and their resentment of federal intervention in local affairs during de-segregation.
The rights of the states are at the heart of a good constitutional republic, but blacks won’t easily forget it was the federal government that enforced their civil rights after Reconstruction, got them jobs under the New Deal and protected them from billy clubs, dogs and water hoses in the 1960s. Do you blame them for believing a bloated, central bureaucracy is still savior even in 2004?
Republicans should keep emphasizing that the federal government is not supposed to have this much control over the people. The U.S. Supreme Court most recently usurped the will of the people by finding a non-existent Constitutional basis for continued race discrimination, although it was legally abolished in 1964. In 1973, they usurped the will of the people by discovering a non-existent “right to privacy” to kill unborn babies. Favoring a strong, forceful central government was once a matter of survival for blacks generations ago but no longer.
Given this elemental divide between blacks and Republicans, courting them won’t be easy. But the most important advantage Republicans have over Democrats is that Republicans can win elections without the black vote; Democrats can’t.
In the meantime, Republicans should continue to do what they do best: defending the country, supporting policies that foster economic growth, fighting for the sanctity of the family, the unborn and the dignity of the individual.
Once blacks are fed up with liberal lies, fear, resentment and mistrust (and being passed over for leadership positions), perhaps they’ll return to the party that set them free. And once they get a taste of real freedom, Democrats will be in trouble. Deep trouble.
{ 1 trackback }
{ 17 comments }
It sickens me that every election cycle Democrats will get 90% of the black vote. It is like black people are addicted to the Democratic party. What is the price for such an addiction? Failing public school systems in all of our large cities. 70% out of wedlock birth rate. The emasculation of black men by the welfare state. Too much dependance on the government to solve problems instead of dealing with them at the local level. We have turned into a bunch of conspiracy theorists e.g. the CIA planted crack in the black communities. Abortion is killing us in a far more inexpensive manner then crack ever could. Black people continue to support the party that gave us Jim Crow, the Klu Klux Klan (Sen KKK Byrd D WVa) and Bull Conner. The Davis Bacon Act was fathered by the Democrats. Only dictators like Saddam Hussein get 90% of the vote. We need to embrace to philosophy of Booker T Washington and Frederick Douglas and become more self reliant.
Good points, Jeffrey.
La Shawn, if Bloomberg can get 22% of the black vote in NYC, then surely Bush can get 15%!
Do you really think grassroots approaches have no affect (speaking at churches, etc?) I live in Detroit, and when I hear discussion (on radio, etc) regarding politics – I hear a woefully UNINFORMED debate occuring. It appears to me, that many blacks support conservative ideas, yet somehow have been mislead to believe that they are represented in the Dems. It is a mystery, to me. I can only think, that this misinformation is coming to them at the grassroots level, and it is there it must be “fought.” I’m thinking about dropping off Wayne Perryman’s book at every nearby church.
If the schools *really* taught U.S. history, then it would have to become obvious to young Blacks that servility to the Democratic Party is just sleeping with the enemy. The party of the CSA, KKK, Jim Crow, Woodrow (purge Blacks from the Federal government)Wilson, Theodore Bilbo and Lester Maddox has managed to convince too many people not only that the Dem. leopard has changed its spots, but that it never had a problem to begin with.
Never mind 150 years of outright hostility to Blacks; hark to our new slogan: “Republicans are racists!”
Cordially…
Not at all, Carin. I think grassroots efforts have a good use. Welcome to the blog, everyone!
Take the word “black” above, and replace it with “[white] conservative Christians” and take the words “Republican” and “GOP” with “Democratic Party”. The same argument holds. We wouldn’t expect conservative Christians to support the Democratic Party because of the DNC’s stances on issues like abortion or same-sex marriage. And we wouldn’t blame conservative Christians for their stances would we? I would NEVER say…LaShawn is LOST because she’s supporting the GOP.
I believe black people are THE most sophisticated voters in the country. If you work on THAT belief, you (i.e. the GOP and GOP supporters) will go far. I know that some of you get it. But most of you don’t.
So I’m predicting…7% of the vote tops.
I’m part of the NRO-referred crowd, and it took me about 2 seconds to decide I’d better bookmark ya. Great blog, imho.
Your post on how Republicans ought to “court” the black vote by just being themselves rather than tailoring their message (i.e., giving in on some core liberal-conservative divide issues) more eloquently captures what I was trying to say in a note to Jonah Goldberg that got posted in NRO’s corner a couple days ago (http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/04_08_08_corner-archive.asp#037687). But your point about how the federal government has been the chief guarantor of civil rights has me (re)thinking. Somehow Republicans DO have to find a way to communicate a “tailored” message to the black community, don’t they? One that says, yes, we are the party of limited government (and pro-life, pro-family, pro-defense, etc.) but no, we are not looking to “turn back the clock” on civil rights; in fact, we are fully committed to all the civil rights gains that have been achieved? Except then we run into the problem of affirmative action, on which most Republicans DO want to “turn back the clock” – for powerfully persuasive reasons, I think, but then I’m white, and any black politician who makes the case against affirmative action gets vilified (Connerly, Keyes, etc.). So what do you think Republicans should do: (a) talk openly and honestly about wanting to end affirmative action, (b) not talk about it, or (c) support it?
Maybe this is grist for a future post (or maybe you’ve addressed it in the past-sorry, I’m a newbie) – you’re going to get a ton of new comments and I certainly don’t expect you to respond. You do have a new fan, though.
< >
Well, given that my husband heard one black woman tell another (last month) that the Republicans are trying to take away the black vote … I’m not really willing to get on board with you Lester. I live in a community that is 86% black … and while voting for the last elections, a voting official explained voting to the (black) person ahead of me by saying thus … (paraphrasing) … ‘It’s easy, you just vote straight ballot Democrat!”
Neither white nor blacks have ownership of the “most sophisticated voter” trophy. And, believe me, I have issues with ANY uninformed voter. But, since I’m not surrounded by conservative Christians (ill informed or otherwise) … I’ll let someone else be concerned about hoping to educated their ranks. Besides, if they vote the way I prefer, I don’t care. I happen to believe … by luck, perhaps, they have picked the correct “side.”
Republicans should keep emphasizing that the federal government is not supposed to have this much control over the people.
And how do you propose the Republicans start that conversation with blacks without airing ads on black media and going to black churches? Really, 25-30% of the black vote is too much for the GOP to ever hope for until blacks wean themselves off the idea that big federal government=good. However, with more media attacks and church hopping, it’s absolutely supportable to say that Republicans can get 15-20% of the black vote. And, La Shawn, that’s all we’ll need to absolutely kill any chances of Democrats winning in national and most statewide elections.
When Nixon ran, he got 20-25% of the Black vote. Since then, Republicans haven’t even tried to get the Black vote, except for limited situations.
Why, since Republicans do have a strong history, did Republicans abandon Black voters?
Republicans try to get the Jewish vote, which is 80-85% for Democrats.
Again, why the difference?
I feel a blog coming on…
I won’t mince words here. For those like Mike who just zipped over on the NRO band wagon I’ll put it straight to you. FOLLOW THE MONEY. I’m a redneck quasi-intellectual, quasi cuz I’m not and intellectual because I spend too much time read’n this stuff. But please folks, follow the money. Sometines the answer to follow the money is simply choosing which rich support group is right. Most of the time the answer is profound in how and to whom the money goes to in politics.
I will simply say that I think that Walter WIlliams, Victor David Hansson and Stanley Crouch are opinons you simply have to read, though I’m thinking of adding Avery to the list.
The wandering point is this… if you go to c-span Book Notes and listen to In depth w/Stanley Crouch for four hours, you get his take on the drug problem(follow the money). Both sides are paying for the status quo. Any idiot should be able to determine that prohibition is a losing public policy. This applies to the 20/21st century drug problem. This begs the question…
Which political party [subliminal message(democrat democrat Duh?
Sorry, Quasi ya know…
Which political party is positioned t challenge the status quo on illegal drug policy and why have they not done so?
That would be my point. Follow the money…
Darkstar,
As I understand it, MLK wrote a letter to both Nixon and Kennedy while he was being kept in jail. Kennedy answered, Nixon did not, and it was a symbol type moment for blacks of that time. Can anyone else elaborate on this?
Vanyogan,
I’m kinda confused. What does drug policy have to do with black voting patterns? Are you suggesting that Republicans are for prohibition because they get money for being such? And, how does such a stance fit into the black vote?
Personally, I have no idea what the 95% of blacks who vote Dem prefer … legalization or not (I would guess not.) I would say the drug issues (in our cities, but spreading to nice redneck communities as well) is a lot more complicated than a public policy. Being a parent – I think the issue FIRST and formost is a family issue. Mom and Dad are going to have a lot more influence over whether their little Jr takes and/or sells drugs.
“Years of damage caused by liberal ideology and misinformation pumped into the black community for the past 25 years.”
In other words, blacks are to stupid to think and are lead around by the nose. Eh?
In other words, blacks are to stupid to think and are lead around by the nose. Eh?
You know, that’s the general tone I read when I read/hear comments by the “Black conservative” elite.
Sometimes I wonder…
Comments on this entry are closed.